Coffee prices in Vietnam on January 19, 2026 remained stable compared to the previous session, closing a week of solid gains across the Central Highlands. Over the past week, domestic coffee prices increased by VND 1,100–1,500 per kilogram, reinforcing a historically high price range supported by tight supply and cautious selling behavior from farmers.
According to data updated, coffee prices in the Central Highlands are currently trading between VND 98,300 and VND 99,300 per kg. Despite these elevated levels, market liquidity remains subdued, as many growers continue to hold back supplies while waiting for clearer signals from global markets and seasonal demand ahead of the Lunar New Year.
Domestic Coffee Prices by Region
A regional breakdown shows consistent pricing across major growing areas:
Dak Nong: up VND 1,500/kg over the past week, reaching VND 99,300/kg, the highest level in the region
Dak Lak & Gia Lai: both increased VND 1,500/kg, currently trading at VND 99,000/kg
Lam Dong: up VND 1,100/kg, now at VND 98,300/kg, remaining the lowest-priced province in the Central Highlands
Overall, Vietnam’s coffee prices are holding near multi-year highs, but transaction volumes remain limited as buyers and sellers struggle to align price expectations.
Global Coffee Prices Turn Mixed Across Major Exchanges
On the global market, coffee prices showed divergent movements on the London and New York exchanges during the last trading session of the previous week.
Robusta Coffee Prices on the London Exchange
Robusta futures ended the week mixed across delivery months:
January 2026 contract: down USD 8/ton (-0.18%) to USD 4,195/ton
March 2026 contract: down USD 3/ton (-0.06%) to USD 4,000/ton
May 2026 contract: up USD 2/ton (+0.05%) to USD 3,925/ton
This uneven performance reflects investor caution, as the market has yet to establish a clear short-term trend amid uncertain supply-demand dynamics.
Arabica Coffee Prices on the New York Exchange
Arabica prices continued to face downward pressure:
March 2026 contract: down 2.80 cents/lb (-0.77%) to 355.30 cents/lb
May 2026 contract: down 2.90 cents/lb (-0.84%) to 337.50 cents/lb
July 2026 contract: down 2.80 cents/lb (-0.83%) to 331.35 cents/lb
The decline was driven largely by technical selling and easing concerns over supply disruptions in several key producing countries.
Vietnam Market Stalls as Farmers Hold Back Supply
According to Reuters, coffee trading activity in Vietnam remained subdued throughout the past week, reflecting not only seasonal factors but also a clear stalemate within the supply chain.
Farmers continue to withhold coffee, reluctant to sell at current price levels
Exporters and traders remain cautious, delaying aggressive purchases while awaiting clearer signals from the London market
This divergence has slowed contract negotiations significantly, even as delivery demand persists. During the peak harvest period, exporters typically seek to push prices lower to manage input costs, while farmers prefer to wait for higher price confirmation — resulting in localized liquidity freezes despite high headline coffee prices.
Robusta Differentials Signal Exporter Caution
The discount for Vietnamese Robusta Grade 2 (5% black & broken) currently ranges between USD 135–165/ton compared to the March 2026 London contract. This relatively wide differential underscores exporters’ risk-averse stance, as they avoid raising purchase prices amid ongoing global price volatility.
Indonesia Supply Risks Add Uncertainty to the Market
In Indonesia, Robusta prices from Sumatra have remained largely stable. However, adverse weather conditions are emerging as a potential threat to supply.
Prolonged rainfall has increased cherry drop rates
Production from the main harvest in August 2026 could decline by up to 30%
If confirmed, this scenario could significantly tighten regional Robusta supply, adding further support to global coffee prices in the medium term.
Medium- and Long-Term Outlook: Coffee Prices Still Supported
From a longer-term perspective, Xinhua News Agency reports that coffee is increasingly shifting from a lifestyle-driven consumer product into a large-scale industrial commodity, opening new trade opportunities — particularly along China–Vietnam cross-border corridors.
While short-term trading remains sluggish, several structural factors continue to underpin coffee prices:
Limited physical supply
Farmer stockpiling
Elevated production costs
Ongoing weather risks in key producing regions
Together, these elements provide a strong support base for coffee prices in the medium to long term.
Conclusion
Coffee prices on January 19, 2026 present a market marked by contrast:
Domestic prices in Vietnam remain firm at high levels, though trading is slow
Global prices show divergence, with Robusta mixed and Arabica under pressure
Outlook remains constructive, supported by constrained supply and stable demand
As the Lunar New Year approaches, coffee prices are likely to trade sideways with limited volatility, awaiting clearer direction from global exchanges and regional supply developments.
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