Coffee prices today showed a downward trend across both major global exchanges, with Robusta and Arabica futures declining amid improving harvest progress in Brazil and expectations of growing global supply. While domestic coffee prices in Vietnam remained stable at high levels, international markets continue to face pressure from increasing production and shifting demand patterns.
Global Coffee Prices Today
On June 22, global coffee prices recorded losses on both the London and New York exchanges.
Robusta Coffee Prices on the London Exchange
Robusta coffee futures for July 2026 delivery fell by 1.22%, equivalent to US$45 per metric ton, closing at US$3,640/ton.
Across the London market, Robusta prices traded within a range of US$3,472–3,699/ton during the session, reflecting continued volatility as traders assess harvest developments and supply expectations.
Arabica Coffee Prices on the New York Exchange
At the same time, Arabica coffee futures for July 2026 delivery declined by 0.99%, or 2.75 US cents per pound, settling at 275.10 US cents/lb.
Although both markets experienced a correction, coffee prices remain significantly higher than historical averages, supported by weather concerns and tight certified inventories.
Previous Session Stability
According to market updates on June 21, both coffee markets had remained stable before the latest decline.
- Robusta July 2026 futures held at US$3,640/ton.
- Arabica July 2026 futures remained at 275.10 US cents/lb.
The latest downward movement therefore reflects renewed caution among traders rather than a major change in overall market fundamentals.
Vietnam Domestic Coffee Prices Remain Firm
While international coffee prices softened, Vietnam’s domestic coffee market remained stable.
On June 21, coffee prices across the Central Highlands traded between VND 89,000 and VND 89,300 per kilogram.
The highest recorded buying price reached VND 89,300/kg, highlighting the continued strength of Vietnam’s coffee market despite fluctuations on international exchanges.
Strong domestic demand, limited farmer selling, and ongoing export commitments continue to support local prices.
Brazil Harvest Progress Continues to Influence Coffee Prices
Brazil remains the most influential factor affecting global coffee prices.
However, this pace remains behind:
- 43% harvested during the same period last year.
- 40% average harvest progress over the past five years.
The harvest advanced by 9 percentage points compared to the previous week, indicating accelerating field activity.
Arabica Harvest Lags Behind
Brazil’s Arabica harvest reached only 29% completion.
This remains below:
- 34% recorded during the same period in 2025.
- 30% five-year average.
Heavy rainfall in several major growing regions has slowed harvesting operations and raised concerns about bean quality and drying conditions.
Robusta Harvest Accelerates
Meanwhile, Brazil’s Canephora (Conilon/Robusta) harvest reached 59% completion.
This is slightly higher than both:
- 58% during the same period last year.
- 58% five-year average.
Safras & Mercado noted that harvesting activity accelerated significantly in Espírito Santo, Brazil’s largest Robusta-producing state.
The faster pace of Robusta harvesting has increased market expectations for larger short-term supplies, contributing to downward pressure on coffee prices.
China Emerges as a Key Coffee Demand Driver
While supply remains a dominant market theme, demand growth in China is providing long-term support for coffee prices.
China continues to be one of the world’s fastest-growing coffee consumption markets, driven by:
- Rapid urbanization.
- Rising consumer sophistication.
- Expansion of specialty coffee culture.
- Growth of retail chains and e-commerce channels.
USDA Forecast for Chinese Coffee Consumption
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts that China’s domestic coffee consumption will increase by 6.55% during the October 2025–September 2026 coffee year.
Total consumption is expected to reach approximately 5.85 million bags.
Although per-capita consumption remains relatively low compared to mature coffee markets, China’s growth rate makes it one of the most important emerging demand centers globally.
Domestic Production Still Dominates China’s Market
China occupies a unique position as both a coffee-producing and coffee-consuming country.
Imported green coffee accounts for less than 40% of total domestic consumption, meaning locally produced coffee continues to satisfy a large portion of demand.
Consumer preferences are also becoming increasingly diverse.
Demand ranges from:
- Premium specialty coffee.
- Single-origin and pure coffee products.
- Specialty café experiences.
- Instant coffee.
- Ready-to-drink coffee beverages.
This broadening consumer base is creating opportunities across multiple coffee market segments.
Shanghai Leads China’s Coffee Expansion
Major Chinese cities are driving the country’s coffee boom.
Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou remain the primary growth engines for coffee consumption.
Among them, Shanghai stands out as the country’s coffee capital.
In 2025, Shanghai surpassed 9,100 coffee shops, making it one of the largest coffee-consuming urban centers globally.
The continued expansion of café culture in China is expected to support long-term coffee demand and provide additional opportunities for coffee exporters worldwide.
Outlook for Coffee Prices
Coffee prices today remain heavily influenced by two competing forces.
On one hand, accelerating harvest progress in Brazil, especially for Robusta, is increasing supply expectations and creating downward pressure on prices.
On the other hand, strong consumption growth in emerging markets such as China, combined with stable domestic demand in key producing countries, continues to provide support for the market.
In the coming weeks, traders will closely monitor:
- Brazil’s harvest progress.
- Weather conditions in major producing regions.
- Certified coffee inventories.
- China’s consumption growth.
- Global economic conditions and consumer demand trends.
These factors will likely determine the next direction of coffee prices across both the Robusta and Arabica markets.
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